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Shutdown Ends - K-Shaped Economy Ahead?

11/18/2025

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Big news last week. A lot happened! The longest government shutdown in U.S. history ended after 43 days, Minnesota property taxes are going up, and Mayor-Elect Her shared her priorities for the year ahead.
 
Government shutdown: what it means.  Since 1977, the U.S. government has missed funding deadlines 20 times, with shutdowns lasting an average of 8 days. Read more here. This one, at 43 days, had a huge economic impact:
  • About ½ of GDP growth from the past 6 months wiped out
  • 42 million people lost access to SNAP benefits
  • 670K federal workers were furloughed
 
Economic analysts are predicting ripple effects for the months ahead.  
 
Key economic trends leading into 2026.
  1. K-Shaped Economy. Spending is splitting: future economic strength is increasingly reliant on the spending habits and confidence of high-income households while spending slows for the balance of consumers. People are expressing a sense of “falling behind.”
  2. Tariffs Hit Hard. And will continue to weigh on consumers and slow small business growth.
  3. Job Market Anxiety. The “Great Freeze” and “job hugging” are here – especially among younger workers.​
 
Next Week: We’ll dive more into Minnesota, and Ramsey County specifically, on property tax challenges ahead.
 
See you in the trenches,
B
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​Give to the Max Day has become Minnesota’s annual giving holiday, raising $355 million in its first 16 years. Every year, thousands of organizations and individuals generate donations and excitement for Minnesota causes that are working to improve the quality of life for all Minnesotans.
​Support the Chamber’s own Foundation here as we work to fund workforce and talent initiatives as well as scholarships for Leadership St. Paul (LSP) tuition and community grants for our LSP Nonprofit Engagement Program Partners.

And please
 support our Chamber’s 501(c)(3) nonprofit members! View our list of nonprofit members. ​

End the year with these exciting events:
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  • About
    • Board of Directors
    • Young Professionals
    • Ambassadors
    • Staff
    • Blog
    • Foundation >
      • Give to the Max Day
      • We St. Paul/ We Love Midway
      • Herbie Awards
    • Media >
      • B Kyle - Press Kit
    • Job Opportunities
    • Resources >
      • Certificate of Origin
      • St. Paul Relocation Kit
      • Paid Family and Medical Leave
  • Events
  • Programs
    • Advocacy >
      • Early Childhood Ballot
      • Sales Tax Opposition
      • East Metro Voter Guide
      • Political Action Committee
    • BizRecycling Program
    • Career Connect
    • Economic & Workforce Development
    • Equity & Inclusion >
      • Equity Statement
    • Leadership St. Paul
    • Workplace Wellness
    • Workstream
  • Membership
    • Member Directory
    • Member Marketplace
  • Directory
  • LOGIN